Where is Hurricane Florence going?
WASHINGTON (ABC7) —
Meteorologists and computer models still have some real work to do when it comes to the track of Hurricane Florence beyond Thursday morning.
There is a lot of consensus among computer guidance until the storm is about 150 miles off the East Coast.
Below you can see how models diverge at this time frame. The areas of high pressure that are guiding the storm don't really steer it one way or another. These domes of air will work together block it from moving on and force the storm to meander around the Mid-Atlantic.
Because of the likely, slow moving nature of the storm, inland flooding will be a major concern for a very large area.
At this time, without knowing an exact track, it's hard to say where the heaviest rain and biggest totals will set up.
Either way, some areas could experience tropical rain for several consecutive days. Some of these places could see 20"+.
At this time, the heaviest rain looks like it will stay south of D.C. closer to the North Carolina and Virginia border. Still, several inches of rain around the ABC7 viewing area isn't out of the question.
When you look at a hurricane forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center, it's important to know how the cone is derived.
It is not based on the size of the storm or how wide reaching the impacts will be. These cones represent the statistical error in the forecast for the center of the storm. This very circular shape in particular represents the meandering nature of the storm over the weekend.